Warriors vs Hawks prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, March 25 best bets from proven computer model
Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks host the Golden State Warriors on Friday night. The Hawks are aiming to hit .500 with a win, while Atlanta is 36-37 this season. Atlanta is 23-14 in home games, with Golden State coming in at 48-25 overall and 19-16 on the road. Stephen Curry (foot) is out for the Warriors with Andre Iguodala (fullback) questionable, while Atlanta’s injury reports consist of John Collins (outside; foot/finger) and Bogdan Bogdanovic (questionable; knee).
Caesars Sportsbook lists Atlanta as a 2.5-point home favorite, and the tip is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or Over-Under, is 222 in the latest Warriors vs. Hawks odds. Before making NBA predictions with the Warriors vs Hawks game, you will want to see NBA predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has earned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its best NBA Picks over the past three seasons. The model enters Week 22 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 79-49 turnover on all top-rated NBA picks, grossing over $2,400. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.
- Gap Warriors vs. Hawks: Hawks -2.5
- Warriors vs. Hawks over-under: 222 points
- Moneyline Warriors vs Hawks: Hawks -140, Warriors +120
- GSW: Warriors are 16-11-1 ATS in non-conference games
- ATL: Hawks are 10-17 ATS in non-conference games
Featured Game | Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors
Why the Warriors can cover
Golden State has the much better defense in this game. Atlanta ranks in the bottom five in the NBA in defensive ratings, with lower ratings in turnover creation, assist prevention, and allowed shot efficiency. The Warriors are in the top three in the NBA in defensive rating, allowing 106.2 points per 100 possessions. Golden State is No. 2 in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed, with opponents making just 43.7% of shots, and the Warriors are No. 4 in three-point defense at 33.9%.
Golden State is No. 3 in the league in assists allowed (22.9 per game) and the Warriors are forcing 14.6 turnovers per game, one of the top six numbers in the NBA. Golden State is No. 2 in the league in steals, averaging 9.0 per game, and the Warriors are getting 73.7 percent of available defensive rebounds. The Warriors also bricked the edge, allowing 43.6 points per game in the paint, and opponents are producing just 12.6 second-chance points per game against Golden State.
Why the Hawks can cover
Atlanta should benefit from Curry’s absence, as the Warriors are scoring just 104.4 points per 100 possessions with Curry on the ground this season. Golden State is 3-6 when Curry is absent, and the Warriors rank 25th or worse in the NBA in free throw creation and offensive turnover rate. The Hawks are very effective on the offensive end, scoring 114.3 points per 100 possessions to rank No. 3 in the league. Atlanta commits the fewest turnovers in the NBA, giving up the ball on just 12.1% of possessions, and the Hawks generate more than two assists per turnover.
Atlanta is also shooting 37.0% from 3-point range and 81.4% from the free throw line, both of which rank in the top five in the NBA, and the Hawks are making 46.7% of attempts shift. Atlanta is also the elite in free throw prevention on defense, with 19.7 attempts per game, and the Hawks are in the league’s top 10 in defensive rebounding rate and second chance points allowed per game. .
How to make Hawks vs Warriors picks
The model leans on the total, projecting a combined 229 points. It also generated a point pick that hits in 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick on SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs Hawks? And which side of the spread reaches 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you should jump to, all from the model who crushed his NBA picksand find out.